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European Media Market Will Increase By 4.2% In 1994
Carat UK has published its 1994 Spring edition of the European Carat Media Forecast. The European media market is predicted to increase by 4.2% in current terms, which after inflation has been taken into account is a real growth rate of 1.7% Further growth is expected for 1995: 4.8% at current prices which represents real growth of 2.1%.
Europe has been the fastest growing of the world’s display advertising markets since 1980 and is now a close second to North America. Europe has grown by 238% since 1980, with the US growing 138% and Japan 133%. By the end of 1994, Europe will represent 29% of the world’s display advertising market.
With regard to media sectors, magazines in particular suffered during 1993, decreasing 3.7% in current prices. In 1984 magazines had over a quarter of all display advertising, 29%, but by 1994 their share has dropped to 22% in Europe. Television continues to increase its share; it has increased from a 23% share of advertising in 1984 to 36% in 1994. Television is forecast to grow a further 7% and 6.8% in 1994 and 1995 respectively in current prices.
WESTERN EUROPEAN DISPLAY ADVERTISING EXPENDITURE SHARE
| TV | Newsp. | Mags. | Radio | Cinema | Outdoor | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1992 | 34.2 | 28.8 | 24.2 | 5.5 | 0.9 | 6.5 |
| 1993(e) | 35.5 | 28.5 | 22.6 | 5.9 | 0.9 | 6.7 |
| 1994(f) | 36.4 | 28.2 | 21.9 | 6 | 0.9 | 6.5 |
| 1995(f) | 37.1 | 28 | 21.5 | 6.1 | 0.9 | 6.4 |
e = estimate
f = forecast
UK ADVERTISING EXPENDITURE FORECASTS
| 1992 | 1993(e) | 1994(f) | 1995(f) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $m | $m | $m | $m | |
| Television | 3,174 | 3,348 | 3,589 | 3,844 |
| Newspapers | 2,401 | 2,515 | 2,650 | 2,808 |
| Magazines | 1,371 | 1,426 | 1,494 | 1,569 |
| Radio | 210 | 263 | 293 | 315 |
| Cinema | 56 | 59 | 63 | 68 |
| Outdooor | 371 | 386 | 405 | 428 |
| Total | 7,583 | 7,997 | 8,494 | 9,032 |
Source AA/Carat.
