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UK Cinema, Outdoor & Online Forecasts From OMD UK

UK Cinema, Outdoor & Online Forecasts From OMD UK

Cinema Cinema has been the only medium to escape the effects of the advertising downturn and box office takings, admissions and revenues have been on the up for a number of years. The latest media forecasts from OMD UK (see OMD Sees Advertising And Media Turnaround In 2003) show no signs of a slowdown in this sector.

Despite the increase in the quantity and quality of screens in the last decade, advertising investment has been outpacing cinema’s growth in audience. Ad revenue now represents 20% of total cinema revenue, up from 16% five years ago. However, OMD claims that owners are preoccupied with box office receipts and cinema will become more cost effective in future.
UK Cinema Forecasts 
       
Year  Audience (m)  Ad Revenue (£m)  Box Office Revenue (£m) 
2000A 142 128 573
2001A 156 164 645
2002F 174 166 700
2003F 183 n/a n/a
2004F 192 n/a n/a
2005F 200 n/a n/a
Source: OMD UK, October 2002 

Outdoor Following substantial growth of more than 20% in 2000, the outdoor sector was unable to withstand the media recession last year and saw revenues fall by 2.5%. According to figures from OMD’s bladeTRACKER system, there will be a slight upturn this year as a result of increased demand in the second half. Further growth of 4.4% is predicted for 2003.

A small number of major players (Clear Channel, JCDecaux, Viacom and Maiden) continue to dominate the outdoor market and they are expected to account for 85% of all revenues in 2002.

Outdoor Revenue Forecasts 
     
Year  Revenue (£m)  YoY Change (%) 
2000A 687 22.2
2001A 670 -2.5
2002F 680 1.5
2003F 710 4.4
Source: bladeTRACKER, October 2002 

New media The online advertising market suffered from the well documented dotcom crash of 2000/2001 and the reduction in investment and the economic fallout of September 11 prolonged the stagnation. Greater consolidation within the marketplace and the increasing variety of formats and opportunities are now driving more advertisers online.

Research has shown that the online audience continues to grow and more consumers are now willing to buy products over the web. OMD forecasts that the total UK internet ad spend marketplace will be worth approximately £180 million in 2003, 5.3% higher than last year.

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