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Global Ad Market To Grow In 2008

Global Ad Market To Grow In 2008

Zenithoptimedia ZenithOptimedia has predicted that global ad expenditure will grow 6.7% in 2008, up from 5.3% this year, thanks to the Olympic Games, elections in the US and European football.

Developing markets have taken over as the main contributors to global advertising expenditure growth, said Zenith, compensating for slow growth in developed markets.

The media planning and buying agency also predicts that by 2010 the internet will overtake magazines to become the world’s third largest advertising medium.

Internet is expected to overtake radio advertising in 2008 and attain a double digit share of global advertising in 2009, before grabbing an 11.5% share of total adspend in 2010.

Global Advertising Expenditure By Medium
US$ million, current prices, Currency conversion at 2006 average rates.
  2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Newspapers 123,031 124,047 127,366 130,955 134,829
Magazines 52,959 54,393 56,427 58,518 60,588
Television 160,356 168,359 180,335 189,110 198,894
Radio 35,347 36,472 37,782 39,437 41,032
Cinema 1,870 1,984 2,180 2,414 2,691
Outdoor 23,516 25,126 27,145 29,099 31,249
Internet 27,185 35,999 44,583 51,963 60,888
Total* 424,264 446,381 475,818 501,496 530,496
Source: ZenithOptimedia
*The totals here are lower than the totals in the ‘Advertising expenditure by region’ table, since that table includes total adspend figures for a few countries for which adspend is not itemised by medium. This table also excludes some advertising that does not fit into the above media categories.
Share Of Total Adspend By Medium 2006-2010 (%)
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Newspapers 29.0 27.8 26.8 26.1 25.4
Magazines 12.5 12.2 11.9 11.7 11.4
Television 37.8 37.7 37.9 37.7 37.5
Radio 8.3 8.2 7.9 7.9 7.7
Cinema 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5
Outdoor 5.5 5.6 5.7 5.8 5.9
Internet 6.4 8.1 9.4 10.4 11.5

The latest figures from the Internet Advertising Bureau (IAB) revealed that UK internet advertising recorded above-expectation 41.3% year on year growth in the first half of 2007.

Across the pond, the Interactive Advertising Bureau and PricewaterhouseCoopers show that US internet advertising revenues for the first half of 2007 were nearly $10 billion, setting another new record and representing a nearly 27% increase over the first half of 2006.

Meanwhile, Zenith said that it does not expect the ad market to follow the downturn in world economic growth, as unlike the last two recessions, advertisers have not been increasing their budgets year on year.

Instead, over the last few years ad expenditure has tracked the economy and has remained at 0.92%-0.93% of GDP.

The ad market will be boosted by US$6 billion in spending from the ‘quadrennial events’ in 2008: US$3 billion from the Olympics, US$2 billion from the Presidential and congressional elections in the US, and US$1 billion from the Euro 2008 football tournament.

The quadrennial accounts for almost all of the acceleration in 2008: without it, said Zenith, growth would remain flat at 5.4%.

Advertising Expenditure By Region
Major Media (Newspapers, magazines, television, radio, cinema, outdoor, internet) US $ Million, current prices (Currency conversion at 2006 average rates)
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
North America 182,584 187,226 194,972 201,094 207,458
Western Europe 102,442 107,427 112,631 117,873 123,893
Asia Pacific 88,913 94,222 102,683 108,735 116,570
Central & Eastern Europe 23,831 28,188 32,979 38,067 43,188
Latin America 20,619 22,273 23,924 25,438 26,783
Africa/M. East/ROW 13,722 15,784 18,380 21,492 24,876
World 13,722 15,784 18,380 21,492 24,876
Source: ZenithOptimedia

ZenithOptimedia: www.zenithoptimedia.com

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