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Advertising Marketing Set To Grow By 3.2%

Advertising Marketing Set To Grow By 3.2%

The long-awaited global advertising recovery is now underway and the market is set to rise by 3.2% to $244,535 million in 2004 says a new report from Zenith Optimedia.

This forecast is based on the eight countries with the largest advertising markets, these are; USA, Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Spain, the UK and Japan. In 2003, these countries together totaled 75% of the world’s advertising expenditure.

The ad market is expected to strengthen further this year by the combination of the Olympic Games, European Championship and presidential elections in Canada and the USA says the report.

Already in 2004, the US ad market has started to make very rapid improvements and Zenith forecasts this to continue and grow by 4.4% in real terms this year. On the other hand, Europe is lagging and is only expected to grow by 1.1% with the latest terrorist attack on Spain being one of numerous reason’s for Zenith having low expectations.

Japan has saw a turnaround and currently has the strongest ad market of the eight countries analysed. For the first time since mid 1990’s it has managed to sustain the recovery and a steady increase is expected in this region over the next few years. Ad expenditure is forecast to rise by 2.4% this year and a further 2.6% in 2005 & 2006.

The US is expected to contribute £155,277 million this year to global advertising expenditure, up from £147,168 last year. Europe is expected to contribute the second largest amount to the global ad revenue pot. A forecast of $63,296 million has been set for this region, up from $61,612 million which was achieved last year. Overall, Germany is expected to contribute the highest of all European countries with $20,565 million forecast, then the UK with £15,195 million.

Global Advertising Expenditure ($ million) 
           
  2002  2003  2004  2005  2006 
USA 144464 147168 155277 161332 168007
           
Canada 5844 6067 6272 6460 6656
           
Europe* 60710 61612 63296 65252 67875
France  10785  10777  11062  11400  11792 
Germany  20386  20565  20909  21434  22465 
Italy  8510  8790  9134  9504  9898 
Spain  6104  6283  6466  6699  6965 
UK  14925  15195  15725  16216  16754 
                 
Japan 33516 33775 34297 34939 35649
           
Total  244534  248622  259142  267983  278187 
           
*Total of Europe’s top 5 advertising markets
Source: ZenithOptimedia, April 2004 
  2003 v 2002  2004 v 2003  2005 v 2004  2006 v 2005 
  Current prices  Constant prices  Current prices  Constant prices  Current prices  Constant prices  Current prices  Constant prices 
USA 1.9 -0.3 5.5 4.4 3.9 2.6 4.1 2.1
                 
Canada 3.8 1.0 3.4 2.1 3.0 1.2 3.0 1.2
                 
Europe* 1.5 -0.3 2.7 1.1 3.1 1.8 4.0 2.5
France  -0.1 -2.2 2.6 0.9 3.1 2 3.4 2.4
Germany  0.9 -0.2 1.7 0.7 2.5 1.9 4.8 3.8
Italy  3.3 0.5 3.9 1.8 4.0 2.3 4.2 2.4
Spain  2.9 -0.2 2.9 0.6 3.6 1.6 4.0 1.9
UK  1.8 0.4 3.5 1.8 3.1 1.2 3.3 1.3
                  
Japan 0.8 1.3 1.5 2.4 1.9 2.6 2.0 2.6
                 
Total  1.7  -0.1  4.2  3.2  3.4  2.3  3.8  2.3 
                 
Source: ZenithOptimedia, April 2004       

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