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Over Half Of US Homes To Have Broadband Internet By 2008

Over Half Of US Homes To Have Broadband Internet By 2008

The number of US households using a high-speed, broadband connection to the internet is set to rise by over 40% in 2003, according to a new report from Strategy Analytics (SA).

SA says that the number of residential broadband subscribers will grow from the current 17.9 million homes to 25.3 million homes by the end of this year. By the end of 2008, this number is forecast to hit 64 million, or 59% of all US homes.

The main broadband systems are cable modem and DSL, but there are also satellite, fibre-to-the-home and fixed wireless systems, although these are far less widespread.

“Despite the slow economy, consumer demand for broadband was remarkably strong in 2002, when the US market grew by more than six million subscribers,” says James Penhune, a director of the Strategy Analytics Global Broadband Practice. “Over the next five years, high-speed access will become the norm for residential internet users as broadband becomes more widely available, more flexibly priced and a more powerful vehicle for new kinds of entertainment, content and services.”

Currently, only about 27% of all US internet homes use broadband connections. By 2008, the report estimates that the percentage will have risen to more than 70%. In the UK, Oftel estimates that around 10% of internet homes are using a broadband connection (see UK Broadband Revolution Gathers Pace).

Cable modem service will continue to be the most widely used form of broadband access in the US. SA predicts that 16.1 million homes will use cable modems by the end of 2003, while 7.9 million will use DSL connections. A further 1.3 million homes will get broadband through the other, less established technologies.

US Residential Broadband Subscribers Forecast 
               
  2002  2003  2004  2005  2006  2007  2008 
Cable Modem 11.1 16.1 21.8 27.8 33.1 37.2 40.3
DSL 6.2 7.9 9.1 10.1 11.4 13.1 15.6
Other 0.6 1.3 2.4 3.7 5.0 6.6 8.2
Total  17.9  25.3  33.3  41.6  49.5  56.9  64.1 
Source: Strategy Analytics, January 2003 

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